dc.description.abstract |
Studies of Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are scientifically intriguing and practically
important. CMEs are the main driver of space weather that specifies plasma, magnetic
and particle conditions in near-Earth space. When CMEs pass through and interact with
the Earth’s magnetosphere, they can cause significant disruption in space and produce a
variety of harmful effects on human’s technological systems from space to the ground. Many
studies have been carried out to understand their evolution. However, their kinematic and
morphological evolution as they pass from Sun to Earth is still poorly understood, largely
due to the lack of direct observations. Since the launch of the twin-STEREO spacecraft
in 2006, tracking of CMEs in interplanetary space was made available for the first time.
Further, one could make unprecedented 3-D measurement of CMEs, thanks to the simultaneous
observations from two vantage points in space. In this dissertation, I make use
of STEREO observations to study the kinematic and morphological evolution of CMEs in
interplanetary space. The Raytrace model is utilized as a powerful tool to measure CMEs
evolution in 3D. I find that CME leading edge (LE) velocity converges from an initial range
between 400 km/s and 1500 km/s at 5 to 10 RS to a narrow range between 500 km/s and
750 km/s at 50 RS. The expansion velocity is also found to converge into a narrow range between 75 km/s and 175 km/s. Both LE and expansion velocities are nearly constant after 50 RS. I further find that the acceleration
of CMEs in the inner heliosphere from ∼ 10 to 90 RS can be described by an exponential
function, with an initial value as large as ∼ 80 m/s2 but exponentially decreasing to almost
zero (more precisely, less than ± 5 m/s2 considering the uncertainty of measurements).
These results are important for constructing accurate space weather prediction models.
In addition to the observational study, I have used the theoretical flux rope model
to explain the observations, and find consistency between theory and observation. The
evolution of CMEs can be explained by different forces that act on them: Lorentz force,
thermal pressure force, gravity force, aero-dynamic drag force, and magnetic drag force.
Based on a set of four events, I find that the drag coefficient from CME to CME is between
2.5 to 3.0, which is much smaller than the factor of twelve suggested by earlier studies.
Therefore, we have been able to narrow down the range of drag coefficient, which helps
improve the prediction of CME arrival time at the Earth.
In the early stage of my Ph.D. study, working with a team, we have identified solar and
interplanetary sources of all 88 major geomagnetic storms from 1996 to 2005. We classify
the Solar-IP sources into three broad types: (1) S-type, in which the storm is associated
with a single ICME and a single CME at the Sun; (2) M-type, in which the storm is
associated with a complex solar wind flow produced by multiple interacting ICMEs arising
from multiple halo CMEs launched from the Sun in a short period; (3) C-type, in which
the storm is associated with a Corotating Interaction Region (CIR) formed at the leading
edge of a high-speed stream originating from a solar coronal hole (CH). For the 88 major
storms, the S-type, M-type, and C-type events number 53 (60 %), 24 (27 %), and 11 (13 %),
respectively. For the 85 events for which the surface source regions could be investigated,
54 (63 %) of the storms originated in solar active regions, 11 (13 %) in quiet Sun regions
associated with quiescent filaments or filament channels, and 11 (13 %) were associated
with coronal holes. This study improves our understanding of geo-effective CMEs.
In conclusion, the dissertation work has improved our understanding about the kinematic
and morphologic evolution of CMEs in interplanetary space. In the future, a larger number of events need to be measured and modeled to further constrain CME evolution
models, in particular, the drag coefficient and the polytropic index. We are confident with
these studies. We are confident that our studies enable us to construct an accurate empirical
model to predict the travel times of CMEs from the Sun to the Earth, thus improving our
ability to forecast space weather events. |
|